Craig_Allen's Blog

As advertised, another tropical-like changeable weather day. One hour you're taking in the warmth of the sun, then suddenly you hear the distant thunder. The sky grows dark, the thunder booms and the rain comes down in torrents....only to be followed by sunshine and the steamy feel of summer.  These bouts of thunderstorms may go on through a good portion of the night as a cold front approaches. Some of the storms have the potential to produce damaging winds and hail but the main threat will be flooding downpours and frequent dangerous lightning.

Monday may not be as wild and changeable but we can't rule out a few more thunderstorms anytime from afternoon into the evening. It also will not be as humid or as warm with highs mainly 80-85.

The threat of a thunderstorm is still in the forecast for Tuesday but right now it looks like any that develop would be few and far between.  Highs on Tuesday will be near 80.  Wednesday is shaping up to be dry but it will start getting warmer again with highs in the middle 80s.

Humidity will begin to increase on Thursday and so will the chance of a thunderstorm....again. For Friday the 4th, it looks like a typical summery day from this early view. Some sun, warm and humid but Mother Nature may provide some fireworks of her own before the day is through.

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Hot and humid weather during Saturday led to a few strong thunderstorms but it should be quiet for several hours into the overnight. On the other hand, bands of showers and thunderstorms will be approaching from the west and one or two can't be ruled out late at night or early Sunday. Sunday afternoon will be very warm and steamy with the threat for showers and thunderstorms, increasing through the day. A cold front pushing into this very humid air will trigger the storms and it's possible that a few will become strong. Some storms will contain torrential rain, frequent cloud to ground lightning and damaging winds. We will be keeping an eye on Fox5 SkyGuardian.

While the front will try to push off shore by Monday, we still won't get a clean break from the unsettled summertime weather. Temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will run between 80 and 85 degrees. The humidity will not be as oppressive but the risk of a shower or thunderstorm will remain in the forecast for both days.

Finally, Wednesday and Thursday should be rain free. Temperatures will be climbing into the 80s and the humidity will make a comeback by the end of the week. In fact, on Friday the 4th, we may have to deal with a few thunderstorms again.

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How fast and often did the weather change in your area? Sun followed by the crack of thunder, then a deluge then the sun was back out. Guess what...expect another day just like it on Monday.  Actually, there may be more showers and thunderstorms rolling through during tonight.  Then for Monday, we'll get some sunshine again but watch the sky for those big cauliflower-looking clouds to billow up. That's usually followed by the crack of thunder and if you're under the cell, you'll be doused. Some of the storms could produce small hail and damaging wind gusts, as well. Highs on Monday will be near 80.

I think we may have to go through this yet again on Tuesday. The storms may not be as numerous but they will still be a threat through the afternoon and evening until the weather front finally passes by Tuesday night.

Finally by Wednesday, just a mix of sun and clouds expected with highs in the 80s. More of that for Thursday as it starts getting very warm with highs well up into the 80s  to near 90 in spots. Friday will feel very summery too along with the next chance of a shower or thunderstorm, late in the day and at night.

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The first full day of Summer turned out to be a warm Saturday... BUT, the weekend won't end that way. Here we go again with showers and thunderstorms. They have been an off-and-on occurrence for nearly the last two weeks. As you know, some have been strong to locally severe causing extensive damage, whether it be from winds or hail or lightning.

It might happen again on Sunday as various weather fronts converge on our viewing area. It will mainly cloudy and humid. Temperatures will generally be in the 70s to near 80 degrees. There will be a threat of showers and thunderstorms at just about anytime, any place through the course of the day. Some may contain strong winds, cloud to ground lightning and flooding downpours.

The same weather systems will still be in close proximity on Monday so we may be going through it, yet again. Some sun is possible with muggy highs in the 80s. The most active time for the thunderstorms would be during afternoon and evening hours. They usually calm down somewhat overnight (although that hasn't necessarily been the case lately!).

Tuesday may not be quite as active but we can't rule out a thunderstorm or two, mainly during the afternoon and evening. At least the humidity should begin to drop on Tuesday as highs reach 80-85.

For now, I'm keeping the Wednesday and Thursday forecast dry. Any activity would be isolated at worst. With more sunshine, expect highs to climb toward the mid 80s.

And then....thunderstorms could be back, Thursday night into Friday.

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Changeable weather for all the dads on this Father's Day and the changeable, unsettled weather will continue through the first half of this week. It will be much quieter Sunday night -- no thunderstorms expected -- most of the activity has diminished. It will likely fire up again on Monday, though. A cold front will be approaching and may trigger weather similar to what we went through during Saturday afternoon and night. Thunderstorms could produce torrential rain, gusty winds and lots of lightning. The first showers could be breaking out around lunchtime and the threat will  increase during the latter part of the day into the evening and Monday night.

Tuesday and Wednesday will feature intervals of sun; intervals of clouds and the threat of a shower or thunderstorm at anytime. The weather pattern has shifted for the time being so temperatures will also be cooler, running below normal much of this week.

By late week, the jet stream should shift a little again so that the chance of showers will diminish and the temperatures will climb back to mid-June levels.

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Day 2 of the heat wave produced temperatures between 90 and 95 degrees, even along the shore! Westerly winds held off all cooling sea breezes. Then some intense thunderstorms developed. Heat, humidity and a little energy in the atmosphere and thunderstorms popped throughout the north and west suburbs then moved southeast across Connecticut and Long Island. They will all diminish overnight. They did cool down some communities for a few minutes but as soon as the sun returned, the temperatures soared again and the humidity was higher.

There will  be no relief over the next few days. The chance of a thunderstorm is next to nil for Monday. So that means blazing sun through the day with record breaking heat. Much of the region will be up between 95-100 degrees and the heat index will likely exceed 105. So the heat will be reaching dangerous levels. The record for Central Park is 97 set back in 1933.

More of the same for most of Tuesday but there is some relief on the way. A cold front will approach late Tuesday and Tuesday night. It will likely set off some thunderstorms during that time. The front will move offshore during Wednesday morning and we can say goodbye to the early season extreme heat. Temperatures will still  be warm, but much closer to normal June levels with highs in the 80s and lower humidity.

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Wild weather for Saturday will give way to a calmer, nicer Sunday.

All of the strong storms will be offshore by Sunday morning. Sunshine, a west breeze and warm temperatures will provide us with a very nice end to the weekend. The humidity will also be lower. It's possible that some cloudiness will mix in during the late afternoon but any showers that develop should stay south and east of the region. To be safe, let's not rule one out in a few isolated areas.

Sunday night will turn cooler followed by a very nice start to the work week. Monday's high will be back up around 80. Even Tuesday will be pleasantly warm with sunshine a good part of the day. Later Tuesday, expect clouds to begin increasing with a possibility of showers developing during Tuesday night.

Wednesday will be a little more humid again with the threat of showers or thunderstorms at any time. They may not be as numerous on Thursday but the possibility for one or two still exists.

The hurricane season officially starts today, June 1 but the first tropical storm of the season has formed a day early. It's named Arthur and was located near the Yucatan. It was weak as of this writing with 40 mph winds.

 

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How great is this!?!? Perfect weather for the mid-portion of our three-day holiday weekend. It looks like it will continue through Memorial Day. High pressure will hang on just long enough to bring a mostly sunny sky. Southwest winds will transport even warmer temperatures our way as well. It will likely reach 80 in many places, away from the coast. Parts of New Jersey and the Hudson Valley may even break into the low 80s for awhile. Along the shore and all beaches, the southwest wind will be coming in off 55-60 degree water temps so it will likely turn about 5-10 degrees cooler during the afternoon and evening.

There is a cold front approaching. It's the same one that has been causing havoc out west with severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. It won't be that intense here but showers and thunderstorms are likely from Monday night into Tuesday. Tuesday will be in the 70s and even a bit humid.

The front is expected to push offshore early Wednesday. So any showers leftover during Wednesday morning will give way to clearing by afternoon. A fresh breeze and lower humidity with highs in the 60s. Beautiful weather is expected for Thursday and Friday with highs back into the 70's.

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Great weather will continue through the Memorial holiday weekend! The clouds that moved in for a few hours on Saturday will clear out Saturday night and lows will drop into the lower 50's in New York City and 40s in the suburbs.

Sunday will feature even more sunshine and warmer temperatures. Expect highs to climb into the middle 70s. Late in the day, the breeze may switch around and come in off the ocean so coastal and beach temperatures will drop back into the 60s.

And for the holiday itself, warm daytime highs of 75-80 can be expected with a good amount of sun. Some clouds will start to move in later in the day. Also, beach temperatures will be several degrees cooler once again during the late afternoon.

There is a weather front approaching but any showers or thunderstorms should hold off until Monday night at the earliest. They are more likely on Tuesday. Tuesday will actually feel more like mid June with highs near 80 and somewhat humid. Thunderstorms will be around at any time.

By Wednesday, the front will push offshore and clearing will begin with lower humidity and comfortable daytime highs near 70, right into Thursday.

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The sun was shining for Mother's Day but clouds are moving in Sunday night ahead of yet another rainstorm. This is part of the same system which spawned the severe weather in the lower Midwest across to the mid-Atlantic coast. Fortunately, the severe weather will not make it up here but the rain will. The rain may come down hard at times, accompanied by a strong wind off the ocean. Temperatures will struggle to get much above 50 and all in all it will be a miserable start to the work week.

The storm will move away during Monday night and improvement should begin on Tuesday. With the sun returning, expect highs to get back into the 60s. The best of the week will be Wednesday as a sunny sky will get the thermometer close to 70.

Unsettled weather could be returning though during Thursday in the form of clouds and showers. More showers are expected for Friday, too.

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Saturday's intervals of clouds and sun will give way to a clear sky overnight. It will cool down to near 50 around New York City and 40s in the suburbs. It looks like the clear sky will stick around into at least Sunday afternoon making Mother's Day mostly sunny and pleasant. Daytime highs will approach 70 before clouds begin to increase late in the day.

The next wet weather system will be arriving during Sunday night into the beginning of the workweek. Once again, a moisture-laden, low pressure system will douse our region starting before the Monday morning commute and lasting throughout the day once again. The rain may be heavy at times as well accompanied by gusty winds, all making it very similar to what we went through on Friday. Expect Monday's highs to stay around 50 degrees, nearly 20 degrees below normal.

Improvement is expected on Tuesday into Wednesday as temperatures get back to springtime levels. The next chance of showers will follow on Thursday.

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A damp start to Sunday was followed by a beautiful afternoon and there's more weather like this on the way. Finally, a better weather pattern has evolved over the northeast part of the nation. Gone is the persistent east/northeast wind off the ocean with its clouds, drizzle and cool temperatures. The next few days should feature a pretty good amount of sunshine sending daytime highs up to around or a little over 70. The only exception will be along the shore where late day sea breezes will keep it cooler.

However, it won't be a perfect week of weather. A few weak weather systems will be passing through. Timing them out is a little difficult but none are expected to be strong or cause major problems. As of this writing, there is a chance of a shower or two late Tuesday or Tuesday evening, then again Wednesday night into early Thursday. The next chance after that is anytime on Friday.

But the overall outlook for the next five days is better than what we just went through. It will look and feel more like early May.

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Another dreary day across the tristate region. Clouds, gusty winds off the ocean and temperatures in the 50s made it feel more like early April. However, a cold front will pass the region late tonight and early Sunday. Showers will accompany the front, anytime from midnight on. They'll last into early Sunday.

Even though it's technically a cold front, the wind will shift to the northwest behind the front. That means milder air will blow across the region and temperatures will actually be warmer behind the cold front. In fact, with enough breaks of sun, the daytime high may be able to reach 70.

The weather will be quiet for a few days next week. Sunshine is expected and near to slightly above normal temperatures can be expected. So Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday will have highs within a few degrees either side of 70. Nights will be around 50 with 40s in the suburbs.

The next chance of showers will come late Wednesday, Wednesday night into part of Thursday. It will clear out during Thursday afternoon and temperatures will be near seasonal levels to close out the week.

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Clouds and showers started our Sunday then a few places were lucky enough to get some breaks in the clouds But the wet weather will be returning quickly. This next weather system is a combination of waves of Low pressure on a warm front then the cold front has to pass through. All of this will begin late Sunday night and will take at least 12-18 hours to pass.

Rain and fog will begin prior to Monday morning sunrise so the morning commute is expected to be wet. Rain will be with us most of the day, off and on, varying in intensity. A few rumbles of thunder are also likely. When the cold front approaches during the Monday evening commute, there may be some thunderstorms with downpours, continuing til about midnight.

The bulk of the weather system will have passed by Tuesday so expect some improvement. But the airmass will still be unsettled and a few showers could still pop up at any time. Daytime highs should be able to get back to around 60.

Wednesday and most of Thursday will be better. A mix of sun and clouds and temperatures in the 60s. A few showers may return Thursday evening into the night but clearing is expected for Friday and temperatures will get back to the delightful 70s.

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Very changeable weather conditions expected much of the week.

Clouds and showers will be around during Saturday night. There may even be a thunderstorm. The showers should leave during Sunday morning and we could see a few breaks of sunshine during Sunday afternoon. If so, the daytime high will be able to get back to around 60; 50s along the shore because of the ocean breezes. This is about 5-7 degrees below normal for this time of year.

Weather maps indicate the weather will get worse before any signs of getting better. A stronger low-pressure system with its warm front/cold front combination will affect our region from Sunday night into Monday night with periods of rain and thunderstorms. Some of the rain will be heavy at times.

Even Tuesday will remain unsettled with a lot of clouds and leftover showers. This will keep it rather cool as well with highs again only in the 50s. There are signs that improvement will slowly begin during the middle of the week. As sunshine begins to return, temperatures will moderate back up to near normal levels before the week is through, perhaps even back up near 70 by Friday.

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